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A-League Men · Matchweek 8

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

WES

Wellington Phoenix

WEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Western Sydney45%
Draw27%
Wellington Phoenix28%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.20

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–17.9%
  • 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Western Sydney will have the ball; Wellington Phoenix will not mind.

60%Possession33%
37%Territory38%
19%From set plays6%
0.11Chance quality0.17
3.5%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Western Sydney, 3 for Wellington Phoenix. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.