Skip to content

A-League Men · Matchweek 8

Melbourne Victory

MEB

Newcastle Jets

NEW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Melbourne Victory45%
Draw24%
Newcastle Jets31%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.47

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Newcastle Jets will have the ball; Melbourne Victory will not mind.

51%Possession66%
34%Territory52%
19%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.10
3.3%Directness3.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne Victory, 3 for Newcastle Jets. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.