A-League Men · Matchweek 8
Central Coast Mariners
CEN
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Central Coast35%
Draw29%
Brisbane Roar FC36%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.24
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession63%
36%Territory39%
15%From set plays40%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Central Coast, 2 for Brisbane Roar FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Central Coast
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.