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A-League Men · Matchweek 8

Auckland FC

AUC

Sydney FC

SYD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Auckland FC44%
Draw28%
Sydney FC28%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.12

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 0–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sydney FC will have the ball; Auckland FC will not mind.

37%Possession48%
36%Territory30%
41%From set plays28%
0.06Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Auckland FC, 3 for Sydney FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90