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A-League Men · Matchweek 8

Perth Glory

PER

Melbourne City FC

MEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Perth Glory36%
Draw29%
Melbourne City FC35%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.24

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Melbourne City FC will have the ball; Perth Glory will not mind.

42%Possession53%
31%Territory36%
25%From set plays41%
0.15Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Perth Glory, 3 for Melbourne City FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.