A-League Men · Matchweek 8
Adelaide United
ADE
Macarthur FC
MAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Adelaide United43%
Draw26%
Macarthur FC31%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.35
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–27.5%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession43%
38%Territory34%
27%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.14
3.8%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Adelaide United, 3 for Macarthur FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Adelaide United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Macarthur FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.