A-League Men · Matchweek 7
Wellington Phoenix
WEL
Adelaide United
ADE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wellington Phoenix47%
Draw25%
Adelaide United28%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.36
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
33%Possession59%
38%Territory38%
6%From set plays23%
0.17Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wellington Phoenix, 2 for Adelaide United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.