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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

A-League Men · Matchweek 6

Central Coast Mariners

CEN

Auckland FC

AUC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Central Coast30%
Draw26%
Auckland FC44%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.57

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 2–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Central Coast will have the ball; Auckland FC will not mind.

53%Possession37%
36%Territory36%
15%From set plays41%
0.13Chance quality0.06
4.3%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Central Coast, 3 for Auckland FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.