A-League Men · Matchweek 6
Macarthur FC
MAC
Melbourne City FC
MEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Macarthur FC34%
Draw29%
Melbourne City FC37%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.28
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Melbourne City FC will have the ball; Macarthur FC will not mind.
43%Possession53%
34%Territory36%
24%From set plays41%
0.14Chance quality0.08
5.1%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Macarthur FC, 3 for Melbourne City FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Macarthur FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.