A-League Men · Matchweek 5
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Sydney FC
SYD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brisbane Roar FC36%
Draw31%
Sydney FC33%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.07
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–012.6%
- 0–111.8%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession48%
39%Territory30%
40%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brisbane Roar FC, 3 for Sydney FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.