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A-League Men · Matchweek 5

Central Coast Mariners

CEN

Perth Glory

PER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Central Coast34%
Draw28%
Perth Glory38%

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.41

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Central Coast will have the ball; Perth Glory will not mind.

53%Possession42%
36%Territory31%
15%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.15
4.3%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Central Coast, 3 for Perth Glory. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.