A-League Men · Matchweek 5
Auckland FC
AUC
Melbourne Victory
MEB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Auckland FC45%
Draw27%
Melbourne Victory28%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.19
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.0%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Melbourne Victory will have the ball; Auckland FC will not mind.
37%Possession51%
36%Territory34%
41%From set plays19%
0.06Chance quality0.12
7.1%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Auckland FC, 3 for Melbourne Victory. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Auckland FC
Melbourne Victory
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.