A-League Men · Matchweek 5
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
WES
Adelaide United
ADE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Western Sydney48%
Draw26%
Adelaide United26%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.18
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession59%
37%Territory38%
19%From set plays23%
0.11Chance quality0.08
3.5%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Western Sydney, 2 for Adelaide United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Western Sydney
Adelaide United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.