A-League Men · Matchweek 4
Adelaide United
ADE
Melbourne Victory
MEB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Adelaide United38%
Draw27%
Melbourne Victory36%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.41
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession51%
38%Territory34%
23%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Adelaide United, 3 for Melbourne Victory. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Adelaide United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Melbourne Victory
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.