A-League Men · Matchweek 4
Macarthur FC
MAC
Brisbane Roar FC
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Macarthur FC40%
Draw30%
Brisbane Roar FC31%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.10
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–010.5%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession63%
34%Territory39%
24%From set plays40%
0.14Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Macarthur FC, 2 for Brisbane Roar FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Macarthur FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.