A-League Men · Matchweek 4
Melbourne City FC
MEL
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
WES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Melbourne City FC42%
Draw29%
Western Sydney29%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.07
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–010.1%
- 0–19.6%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Melbourne City FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession60%
36%Territory37%
41%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Melbourne City FC, 3 for Western Sydney. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Melbourne City FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.