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A-League Men · Matchweek 9

Adelaide United

ADE

Brisbane Roar FC

BRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Adelaide United41%
Draw28%
Brisbane Roar FC31%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.21

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

59%Possession63%
38%Territory39%
23%From set plays40%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.9%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Adelaide United, 2 for Brisbane Roar FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Adelaide United

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.