Liga MX · Matchweek 17
Tigres
TIG
CF América
CFA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tigres33%
Draw27%
América41%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.51
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession55%
36%Territory47%
27%From set plays37%
0.07Chance quality0.06
5.9%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tigres, 2 for América. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.