Liga MX · Matchweek 17
Pumas
PUM
Monterrey
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pumas31%
Draw28%
Monterrey40%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.39
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession67%
39%Territory48%
27%From set plays47%
0.06Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pumas, 2 for Monterrey. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Monterrey
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.