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Liga MX · Matchweek 17

Santos Laguna

SAN

León

LEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Santos39%
Draw26%
León35%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.46

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Santos will have the ball; León will not mind.

58%Possession44%
36%Territory36%
44%From set plays34%
0.17Chance quality0.14
4.4%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Santos, 4 for León.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.