Liga MX · Matchweek 17
Santos Laguna
SAN
León
LEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santos35%
Draw28%
León38%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.37
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.3%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Santos get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession50%
44%Territory40%
28%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.10
8.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santos, 3 for León. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.