Liga MX · Matchweek 17
Tijuana
TIJ
Atlante
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tijuana41%
Draw29%
Atlante30%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.10
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–010.3%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlante will have the ball; Tijuana will not mind.
36%Possession45%
27%Territory38%
34%From set plays35%
0.13Chance quality0.11
10.2%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Tijuana, 4 for Atlante.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.