Liga MX · Matchweek 17
Tijuana
TIJ
Atlante
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tijuana53%
Draw25%
Atlante22%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.04
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.6%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession47%
36%Territory42%
35%From set plays14%
0.17Chance quality0.11
9.0%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tijuana, 3 for Atlante. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.