Liga MX · Matchweek 17
FC Juárez
FCJ
Atlas
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juárez29%
Draw26%
Atlas46%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.65
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession51%
35%Territory39%
30%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juárez, 4 for Atlas.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.