Liga MX · Matchweek 17
FC Juárez
FCJ
Atlas
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juárez34%
Draw26%
Atlas40%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.54
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlas will have the ball; Juárez will not mind.
45%Possession56%
36%Territory33%
19%From set plays40%
0.07Chance quality0.08
5.5%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juárez, 3 for Atlas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.