Liga MX · Matchweek 16
León
LEN
Chivas
CHI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
León40%
Draw28%
Chivas32%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.22
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chivas will have the ball; León will not mind.
44%Possession55%
36%Territory48%
34%From set plays21%
0.14Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for León, 4 for Chivas.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chivas
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.