Liga MX · Matchweek 16
Tigres
TIG
Cruz Azul
CRU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tigres26%
Draw25%
Cruz Azul49%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.70
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tigres get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession53%
37%Territory38%
40%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.14
4.4%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Tigres, 4 for Cruz Azul.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.