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Liga MX · Matchweek 16

Atlante

ATA

Santos Laguna

SAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atlante44%
Draw28%
Santos28%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.12

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Santos will have the ball; Atlante will not mind.

45%Possession58%
38%Territory36%
35%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.17
5.7%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Atlante, 4 for Santos.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.