Liga MX · Matchweek 16
Necaxa
NEC
Tijuana
TIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Necaxa40%
Draw27%
Tijuana32%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.29
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Necaxa will have the ball; Tijuana will not mind.
47%Possession36%
38%Territory27%
17%From set plays34%
0.11Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness10.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Necaxa, 5 for Tijuana.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 134 matches, not the full season.