Liga MX · Matchweek 15
Santos Laguna
SAN
Necaxa
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santos40%
Draw27%
Necaxa33%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.35
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Necaxa get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession48%
44%Territory33%
28%From set plays45%
0.07Chance quality0.12
8.3%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santos, 3 for Necaxa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.