Liga MX · Matchweek 15
Monterrey
MON
Tijuana
TIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monterrey38%
Draw28%
Tijuana34%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.27
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–08.5%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
67%Possession60%
48%Territory36%
47%From set plays35%
0.07Chance quality0.17
4.9%Directness9.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Monterrey, 2 for Tijuana. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Monterrey
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Tijuana
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.