Liga MX · Matchweek 15
Chivas
CHI
Atlante
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chivas48%
Draw28%
Atlante25%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.02
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.6%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chivas will have the ball; Atlante will not mind.
58%Possession47%
37%Territory42%
4%From set plays14%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chivas, 3 for Atlante. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.