Liga MX · Matchweek 15
Puebla
PUE
Pumas
PUM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Puebla43%
Draw28%
Pumas28%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.09
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–09.5%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Puebla get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession40%
47%Territory39%
50%From set plays27%
0.05Chance quality0.06
7.9%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Puebla, 3 for Pumas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.