Liga MX · Matchweek 14
Tijuana
TIJ
Santos Laguna
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tijuana55%
Draw24%
Santos20%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.03
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.3%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.3%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession50%
36%Territory44%
35%From set plays28%
0.17Chance quality0.07
9.0%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tijuana, 3 for Santos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tijuana
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.