Liga MX · Matchweek 14
Atlas
ATL
Puebla
PUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlas38%
Draw28%
Puebla34%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.28
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlas will have the ball; Puebla will not mind.
56%Possession45%
33%Territory47%
40%From set plays50%
0.08Chance quality0.05
4.3%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlas, 3 for Puebla. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.