Liga MX · Matchweek 14
Pumas
PUM
Tigres
TIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pumas42%
Draw28%
Tigres31%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.23
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession46%
39%Territory36%
27%From set plays27%
0.06Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pumas, 3 for Tigres. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.