Liga MX · Matchweek 14
Monterrey
MON
Chivas
CHI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monterrey41%
Draw29%
Chivas30%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.11
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–010.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
67%Possession58%
48%Territory37%
47%From set plays4%
0.07Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Monterrey, 3 for Chivas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Monterrey
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.