Liga MX · Matchweek 14
Necaxa
NEC
FC Juárez
FCJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Necaxa59%
Draw23%
Juárez19%
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.07
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.3%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Necaxa get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession45%
33%Territory36%
45%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.07
7.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Necaxa, 3 for Juárez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.