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Liga MX · Matchweek 13

Santos Laguna

SAN

Pumas

PUM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Santos44%
Draw27%
Pumas29%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.20

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 1010.5%
  • 219.1%
  • 018.1%
  • 007.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Santos will have the ball; Pumas will not mind.

50%Possession40%
44%Territory39%
28%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.06
8.3%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santos, 3 for Pumas. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.