Liga MX · Matchweek 13
Atlas
ATL
CF América
CFA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlas31%
Draw26%
América43%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.62
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession55%
33%Territory47%
40%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.06
4.3%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlas, 2 for América. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.