Liga MX · Matchweek 13
Puebla
PUE
Monterrey
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Puebla33%
Draw29%
Monterrey37%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.26
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession67%
47%Territory48%
50%From set plays47%
0.05Chance quality0.07
7.9%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Puebla, 2 for Monterrey. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Monterrey
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.