Liga MX · Matchweek 13
Chivas
CHI
Necaxa
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chivas48%
Draw27%
Necaxa25%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.07
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chivas will have the ball; Necaxa will not mind.
58%Possession48%
37%Territory33%
4%From set plays45%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chivas, 3 for Necaxa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.