Liga MX · Matchweek 13
Tigres
TIG
León
LEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tigres33%
Draw28%
León39%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.40
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession50%
36%Territory40%
27%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tigres, 3 for León. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.