Liga MX · Matchweek 13
FC Juárez
FCJ
Atlante
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juárez28%
Draw27%
Atlante45%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.57
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession47%
36%Territory42%
19%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juárez, 3 for Atlante. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.