Liga MX · Matchweek 12
León
LEN
CF América
CFA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
León42%
Draw27%
América31%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.29
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession55%
40%Territory47%
12%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.06
5.5%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for León, 2 for América. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
América
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.