Liga MX · Matchweek 12
Chivas
CHI
Tigres
TIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chivas52%
Draw26%
Tigres22%
Expected goals
1.60 – 0.98
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chivas will have the ball; Tigres will not mind.
58%Possession46%
37%Territory36%
4%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chivas, 3 for Tigres. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.