Liga MX · Matchweek 12
Necaxa
NEC
Atlas
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Necaxa49%
Draw25%
Atlas26%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.24
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlas will have the ball; Necaxa will not mind.
48%Possession56%
33%Territory33%
45%From set plays40%
0.12Chance quality0.08
7.3%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Necaxa, 3 for Atlas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.