Liga MX · Matchweek 11
Pumas
PUM
Cruz Azul
CRU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pumas32%
Draw27%
Cruz Azul42%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.54
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cruz Azul will have the ball; Pumas will not mind.
40%Possession53%
39%Territory42%
27%From set plays28%
0.06Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pumas, 3 for Cruz Azul. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.