Liga MX · Matchweek 11
CF América
CFA
Monterrey
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
América42%
Draw27%
Monterrey31%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.27
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession67%
47%Territory48%
37%From set plays47%
0.06Chance quality0.07
7.2%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for América, 2 for Monterrey. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
América
Monterrey
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.