Liga MX · Matchweek 11
Puebla
PUE
León
LEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Puebla34%
Draw29%
León36%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.25
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–09.9%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Puebla get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession50%
47%Territory40%
50%From set plays12%
0.05Chance quality0.10
7.9%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Puebla, 3 for León. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.