Liga MX · Matchweek 10
Necaxa
NEC
CF América
CFA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Necaxa37%
Draw26%
América37%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.46
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–08.2%
- 0–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession55%
33%Territory47%
45%From set plays37%
0.12Chance quality0.06
7.3%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Necaxa, 2 for América. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.