Liga MX · Matchweek 10
Tigres
TIG
Puebla
PUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tigres39%
Draw29%
Puebla32%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.19
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Puebla get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession45%
36%Territory47%
27%From set plays50%
0.07Chance quality0.05
5.9%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tigres, 3 for Puebla. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.