Liga MX · Matchweek 10
Tijuana
TIJ
Atlas
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tijuana59%
Draw23%
Atlas18%
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.02
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.5%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.7%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession56%
36%Territory33%
35%From set plays40%
0.17Chance quality0.08
9.0%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tijuana, 3 for Atlas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.